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Yet the presence of professional counterparties complicates the customer-facing idea that prediction markets merely allow users to trade opinions with one another. As Kendrick puts it, two ordinary customers are not going to place $10 million or $20 million behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Markets at that scale require institutions.
For Marantelli, the exchange format could also cause some customers to lose money faster than they would with a conventional sportsbook. The ability to enter and exit positions creates a perception of flexibility, but that optionality can encourage users to commit more of their bankroll.
A customer might buy a team at 55 or 56 cents expecting the price to rise to 58 or 59 cents, he explains. If it falls to 45 cents instead, the trader may refuse to accept the loss and continue holding the position.
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“I was immediately drawn to the human side of his journey,” Young told the trade outlet, describing the project as a “rags-to-riches drama” tracing Morrow’s evolution from dedicated husband and father to viral gambling personality.
News of The Chop comes directly on the heels of HBO’s announcement that it is developing a drama series set in the actual advantage play space.
Starring and executive-produced by Riley Keough (granddaughter of Elvis Presley), Advantage Player is adapted from Gina Fiore’s memoir detailing her 20-plus years as a high-stakes card counter and hole-carder.
